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How the Chevron Doctrine decision could shake the environment and investors

The Chevron Doctrine is referring to the US Supreme Court’s decision 40 years ago, giving deference to the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) answer or interpretation of environmental laws. It was...
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Why a tsunami of liquidity might be on its way

World financial markets are addicted to liquidity to maintain the price level of assets. In a move reminiscent of the over-lending in the 2008 GFC asset bubble, Congress is voting...
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The inflation genie’s out of its bottle – what will get it back in?

Remarkably there are still a number of market commentators and economists claiming that inflation is still declining. Those that are calling for the RBA to increase rates, however, will be disappointed.
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A quick explainer on Hybrids and why people trade them

ASX hybrid securities are financial instruments listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) that combine features of both equity and debt securities. These hybrids offer investors a blend of the characteristics of...
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APRA to strengthen bank capital requirements and liquidity standards

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) is proposing several changes to strengthen bank capital requirements and liquidity standards in response to the global banking turmoil earlier in 2024. Here are...
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What stock markets should expect from the US Election

The performance of the U.S. stock market during an election year is often a subject of significant interest to investors, economists, and policymakers. Historically, the market’s behavior can be influenced by a variety of factors related to the electoral process, including uncertainty over policy directions, investor sentiment, and the potential for changes in economic policy.
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A Beginner’s Guide to Trading ASX Hybrid Securities

Hybrid securities are a unique asset class that combines features of both debt and equity instruments. For investors looking to diversify their portfolios and potentially earn steady income, ASX hybrid...
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Why the RBA is likely to remain on hold for longer than it should

Interest Rates The rate reversal is gaining momentum with the Fed on a “slower to lower” path if going lower at all. Fed members continue to talk up their pensive...
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Market’s fantasy gets shattered by inflation yet again | Economic update

Last week began quietly enough so as not to wake market participants from their delirium in which “Goldilocks” is real and “immaculate” disinflation is possible. All of this fantasy stuff...
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The false narrative from Wall Street’s greed

The Federal Reserve last week, again, left rates on hold at its January meeting with Powell ruling out a March cut but otherwise keeping his dovish tone. The Federal Reserve...
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Market at a pivot point as inflation surge likely to return in March

Investing is very difficult around key pivot points. If it were easy everyone would be getting double returns consistently. After a short lull in the economy over the past 6...
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Are we in the eye of the inflation storm? | Economic update

During November the market consensus shifted towards the FOMC and ECB remaining on hold throughout 2024. This reflects a forecast that inflation will continue to deflate while unemployment remains low,...
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Why the CPI report reaction surprised so much | Economic update

We were surprised last week by the reaction to the slightly better than expected US CPI monthly report. In aggregate the headline month-on-month CPI rate was flat versus a 0.1%...
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Pivotal week for global markets as the ticking time bomb awaits

The week ahead may prove pivotal for the global bond markets. The US has roughly $33 trillion in Federal debt, at an average interest rate of roughly 3%, which generates...
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Markets get caught by a triple surprise | Economic Update

Interest Rates The markets were caught by a triple surprise last week. Firstly, the Treasury opted to issue less 10 and 30-year bonds and more 3-5 year bonds for its...
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Insights from an Investment Managers trip to Hong Kong

Last week we travelled to Hong Kong to attend a global investment conference and conducted several meetings with - Hong Kong listed companies (some of the largest companies with not...
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RBA’s interest rate dilemma and the importance of timing | Economic Update

The markets, at both a bond and currency level, are now forecasting that the RBA has fallen behind the curve with its interest rate moves. The RBA is now expected...
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The mistakes market strategists are making – What is the magic pudding? | Economic Update

The common theme of market strategists over the past 6 months – basically since the Credit Suisse and Silicon Valley Bank events in March – is that the global economy...
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Inflation will be higher for longer than the market expects | Economic Update

Another rough week for the now very stale bond bulls that show a startling level of misunderstanding of inflation. The reality is something we have written about many, many times...
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Interest rates – higher for longer

Bond yields rose last week as the market absorbed the Central Banks determination to keep short term rates higher for longer in an attempt to kill the inflation impulse. Markets...
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