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News and Market Views
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Market’s fantasy gets shattered by inflation yet again | Economic update

Last week began quietly enough so as not to wake market participants from their delirium in which “Goldilocks” is real and “immaculate” disinflation is possible. All of this fantasy stuff...
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The false narrative from Wall Street’s greed

The Federal Reserve last week, again, left rates on hold at its January meeting with Powell ruling out a March cut but otherwise keeping his dovish tone. The Federal Reserve...
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Market at a pivot point as inflation surge likely to return in March

Investing is very difficult around key pivot points. If it were easy everyone would be getting double returns consistently. After a short lull in the economy over the past 6...
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Are we in the eye of the inflation storm? | Economic update

During November the market consensus shifted towards the FOMC and ECB remaining on hold throughout 2024. This reflects a forecast that inflation will continue to deflate while unemployment remains low,...
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The Bank of Japan doesn’t remember how inflation works | Economic update

Last week was a big one for the history of Japanese monetary policy. If you did not notice this, you are forgiven. Getting any news on Japan – one of...
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Why the CPI report reaction surprised so much | Economic update

We were surprised last week by the reaction to the slightly better than expected US CPI monthly report. In aggregate the headline month-on-month CPI rate was flat versus a 0.1%...
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Pivotal week for global markets as the ticking time bomb awaits

The week ahead may prove pivotal for the global bond markets. The US has roughly $33 trillion in Federal debt, at an average interest rate of roughly 3%, which generates...
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Markets get caught by a triple surprise | Economic Update

Interest Rates The markets were caught by a triple surprise last week. Firstly, the Treasury opted to issue less 10 and 30-year bonds and more 3-5 year bonds for its...
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Insights from an Investment Managers trip to Hong Kong

Last week we travelled to Hong Kong to attend a global investment conference and conducted several meetings with - Hong Kong listed companies (some of the largest companies with not...
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RBA’s interest rate dilemma and the importance of timing | Economic Update

The markets, at both a bond and currency level, are now forecasting that the RBA has fallen behind the curve with its interest rate moves. The RBA is now expected...
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The mistakes market strategists are making – What is the magic pudding? | Economic Update

The common theme of market strategists over the past 6 months – basically since the Credit Suisse and Silicon Valley Bank events in March – is that the global economy...
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Inflation will be higher for longer than the market expects | Economic Update

Another rough week for the now very stale bond bulls that show a startling level of misunderstanding of inflation. The reality is something we have written about many, many times...
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Interest rates – higher for longer

Bond yields rose last week as the market absorbed the Central Banks determination to keep short term rates higher for longer in an attempt to kill the inflation impulse. Markets...
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The Advantages of Investing in Australian Mining Companies

The advantages of investing in ASX mining companies Investing in ASX listed mining companies has long been a lucrative opportunity for both domestic and international investors. With a rich abundance...
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How does the RBA cash rate affect me? Understanding the basics

It is almost impossible to not notice that recently (or every so often before then), the recurring theme of “cash rate increase” or “RBA rate rises” are all headlining Australian...
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Why invest in Australian Stocks over American Stocks?

The Australian stock market has been experiencing steady growth over the past few years, making it an attractive option for investors looking for a stable and profitable investment opportunity. Compared...
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Fast Money: KMD Brands (KMD) Vs Calidus Resources (CAI)

In the current economic climate, would you rather invest in an outdoor apparel retailer that can capitalise on the resumption of international travel and no COVID sales interruption in 12...
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The Perfect Storm: Will the banking crisis spread to Aussie banks next?

March has been a quite turbulent month for the global banking industry. It has only been less than 2 weeks since Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) announced bankruptcy, and now Credit...
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How QE keeps on working, and working

QE stands for Quantitative Easing, which is a monetary policy tool used by central banks to stimulate the economy by increasing money supply. This is the most common statement made...
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Primary issue investors rewarded in hybrid market

In the post-COVID period, barely a few days have passed with a major bank hybrid trading below its $100 face value. For sophisticated investors, who can purchase these hybrids as...
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