Words fail me when asked to explain what the RBA was thinking, but here is what the media have reported: RBA interest rate cut: governor Michele Bullock says the board...

RBA rate cut? A big week ahead with the market fully priced for a rate cut. If the rate cut does not occur it will because: The RBA is actually...

The Federal Reserve’s Task has certainly been made a lot more difficult by the Trump Administration. Firstly, we perhaps should restate the Federal Reserve mandate that appears to be overlooked...

Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) startup DeepSeek has dominated headlines over the weekend by disrupting the global tech landscape, raising significant questions about the sustainability of America’s dominance in the AI...

Labour market remains resilientIn line with market expectations, the latest Australian jobs data showed Australia’s unemployment rate at 4.0% as of December 2024. On a positive note, employment increased by...

It was frustrating to see ANZ bank come out with a forecast that the RBA would cut rates in February. The rest of the banking sector seems to have withdrawn...

At the start of every year market strategists from across the globe pen down their forecasts for the year. So, in keeping with this tradition, our first article for 2025...

It was a nasty week for the bond market, with a significant rise in bond yields without this move being triggered by the release of any significant economic data, or...

You must admire the skill with which Wall Street and the bond market twist a narrative on adverse economic data to spin anything as good news. Seemingly, everything guides the...

Last week’s monthly CPI data confirmed what we have been saying for some time and that is that the inflation dragon is a long way from dead in Australia and/or...

Will global markets continue to rally in 2025? Below we provide some thoughts on how things could play out.   Easing monetary policy cycle should benefit non-U.S. stocksThe recently published...

Trump euphoriaSince the election of U.S. President Donald Trump for a second term, investors have been busy deliberating what it means for the global economy and financial markets. So far...

The IMF has stated on many occasions over the past three years that highly indebted countries are at risk of a prolonged period of economic stagnation or a depression, but...

The audacity of Governor Powell, who has now cut rates by 50 basis points just prior to the election and 25 basis points as promised just after the election, was...

Last week the US electorate decided between the Republican America first policies as represented by Trump during the campaign and continuation of Bidenomics under Harris. It is worth noting that...

Harris Lost and Trump won. We will allow the political analysts to dissect the rest. However, the emotionless, apolitical, atheist data was right again (well...approx. 82% of the time it's 100%...

Firstly, apologies for not including the risks of a UK budget related bond market meltdown in our list of geopolitical risks a few weeks ago. This risk is now a...

The Australian economy, like the global economy to be fair, is muddling through. That is, despite significant increases in interest rates, higher cost of living and doing business, economic growth...

In the absence of any significant economic data the market last week was consumed by Trump economic policy conspiracies. This led the equity market to fresh highs and to a...

Over the past 2 years we have been very much focused on expanding our global network of investors, economists, analysts and industry experts we regularly touch base with so that...