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News and Market Views
From our expert advisors
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Understanding stablecoins and their potential in Australia

‘Stablecoins’ have become one of the most prominent innovations in the cryptocurrency space, offering a solution to the volatility that often hinders the wider adoption of digital assets. These digital...
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A technical breakout for the S&P500

A technical breakout The S&P 500 on Friday made a technical breakout with a gap up that broke the previous high at 6764. Investors now have an entry point with...
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Gold and oil – The big questions

QUESTION 1 - Oil markets are in contango. What do you make of this - excess supply concerns or demand concerns which, reading between the lines, could be signaling increasing...
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The cockroaches hiding in the economy

Just ahead of the anniversary of black Monday the markets had a little volatility last week with Trump threatening 100% new tariff on China disingenuously and at a far more...
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President Trump drives a steep market correction

A market correction had to come at some point! Both the S&P 500 (-2.7%) and NASDAQ (-3.5%) sold off aggressively on Friday after U.S. President Donald Trump threatened China with...
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The upcoming US midterms & macro themes

U.S. President’s approval rating As investors start to look towards 2026, there is a key event which will take place toward the end of 2026 – the U.S. midterm election....
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Peak oil and who is going to power the AI demand?

IEA new bullish oil demand forecastsOver the past 5-10 years the predictions for oil have been dire. However, a recent update from a leader in all things energy - International...
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Earnings season…

It has been a busy month and half with companies from around the world (with a particular focus on the U.S.) and Australia providing an earnings update. Perhaps more importantly...
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Quick update: Thoughts on CSL valuation

CSL is well owned across Australian investor portfolios, including Banyantree Australian Core Equity strategy. The recent share price decline has caused us as much angst as anyway else. CSL's recent share...
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Gold – is it still worth it?

On gold, the question we are not asking is whether the price will go up or down and concerns around the price being at an all time high. The question...
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US Inflation did not die; it was just resting

The US bond market was awoken from its delirium last week by the surge in the core PPI data. The index showed a 0.9% increase in July made of: Services...
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When are we going to get a market correction?

The markets have made a remarkable recovery from their “Liberation Day” induced sell-off in early April, with the S&P 500 Index up +28.3%, S&P/ASX 200 Index up +16.6% and MSCI...
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The increasingly noisy US jobs data

Although the headlines will be all about the US jobs data it was probably a combination of factors that triggered the big fall in US yields on Friday night. In...
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The RBA should cut the cash rate in August

The latest Australian inflation data is only likely to increase investors’ expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut the RBA cash rate further in the current easing...
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What happens once inventory buildup is unwound?

The only real or hard bit of economic data last week was the US durable goods data. For economists, who understand economic theory, the durable goods data is a key...
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Why inflation might be returning sooner than expected

The 90-day BBSW rate surged 19bps to 3.76% after the RBA decision to leave rates on hold at the July meeting and finished the week at 3.72%. Some market participants...
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All eyes on the labour market

US Economic Outlook Last week's non-farm payrolls number of 147,000 was far in excess of the market's expectations of 110,000. Ordinarily we would not see this as significant for the...
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European equities – Maybe this time?

European equities are increasingly gaining favour among global investors at the expense of U.S. equities. Funds flow data and recent performance point to this fact. The question is whether this...
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Who loses the most from the Iran conflict?

The US strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities on Sunday will no doubt impact markets on Monday, but it could have been worse. The US has targeted only the 3 main...
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Geopolitics, oil markets, and the Santos takeover bid

Energy markets are receiving fair bit of airplay over the past few days as tensions in the Middle East have materially escalated and this morning one of Australia's largest companies, Oil...
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