The inflation genie’s out of its bottle – what will get it back in?
Remarkably there are still a number of market commentators and economists claiming that inflation is still declining. Those that are calling for the RBA to increase rates, however, will be disappointed.
Read More A quick explainer on Hybrids and why people trade them
ASX hybrid securities are financial instruments listed on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) that combine features of both equity and debt securities. These hybrids offer investors a blend of the characteristics of...
Read More APRA to strengthen bank capital requirements and liquidity standards
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) is proposing several changes to strengthen bank capital requirements and liquidity standards in response to the global banking turmoil earlier in 2024. Here are...
Read More What stock markets should expect from the US Election
The performance of the U.S. stock market during an election year is often a subject of significant interest to investors, economists, and policymakers. Historically, the market’s behavior can be influenced by a variety of factors related to the electoral process, including uncertainty over policy directions, investor sentiment, and the potential for changes in economic policy.
Read More A Beginner’s Guide to Trading ASX Hybrid Securities
Hybrid securities are a unique asset class that combines features of both debt and equity instruments. For investors looking to diversify their portfolios and potentially earn steady income, ASX hybrid...
Read More Why the RBA is likely to remain on hold for longer than it should
Interest Rates The rate reversal is gaining momentum with the Fed on a “slower to lower” path if going lower at all. Fed members continue to talk up their pensive...
Read More Market’s fantasy gets shattered by inflation yet again | Economic update
Last week began quietly enough so as not to wake market participants from their delirium in which “Goldilocks” is real and “immaculate” disinflation is possible. All of this fantasy stuff...
Read More The false narrative from Wall Street’s greed
The Federal Reserve last week, again, left rates on hold at its January meeting with Powell ruling out a March cut but otherwise keeping his dovish tone. The Federal Reserve...
Read More Market at a pivot point as inflation surge likely to return in March
Investing is very difficult around key pivot points. If it were easy everyone would be getting double returns consistently. After a short lull in the economy over the past 6...
Read More Are we in the eye of the inflation storm? | Economic update
During November the market consensus shifted towards the FOMC and ECB remaining on hold throughout 2024. This reflects a forecast that inflation will continue to deflate while unemployment remains low,...
Read More Why the CPI report reaction surprised so much | Economic update
We were surprised last week by the reaction to the slightly better than expected US CPI monthly report. In aggregate the headline month-on-month CPI rate was flat versus a 0.1%...
Read More Pivotal week for global markets as the ticking time bomb awaits
The week ahead may prove pivotal for the global bond markets. The US has roughly $33 trillion in Federal debt, at an average interest rate of roughly 3%, which generates...
Read More Markets get caught by a triple surprise | Economic Update
Interest Rates The markets were caught by a triple surprise last week. Firstly, the Treasury opted to issue less 10 and 30-year bonds and more 3-5 year bonds for its...
Read More Insights from an Investment Managers trip to Hong Kong
Last week we travelled to Hong Kong to attend a global investment conference and conducted several meetings with - Hong Kong listed companies (some of the largest companies with not...
Read More RBA’s interest rate dilemma and the importance of timing | Economic Update
The markets, at both a bond and currency level, are now forecasting that the RBA has fallen behind the curve with its interest rate moves. The RBA is now expected...
Read More The mistakes market strategists are making – What is the magic pudding? | Economic Update
The common theme of market strategists over the past 6 months – basically since the Credit Suisse and Silicon Valley Bank events in March – is that the global economy...
Read More Inflation will be higher for longer than the market expects | Economic Update
Another rough week for the now very stale bond bulls that show a startling level of misunderstanding of inflation. The reality is something we have written about many, many times...
Read More Interest rates – higher for longer
Bond yields rose last week as the market absorbed the Central Banks determination to keep short term rates higher for longer in an attempt to kill the inflation impulse. Markets...
Read More The Advantages of Investing in Australian Mining Companies
The advantages of investing in ASX mining companies Investing in ASX listed mining companies has long been a lucrative opportunity for both domestic and international investors. With a rich abundance...
Read More How does the RBA cash rate affect me? Understanding the basics
It is almost impossible to not notice that recently (or every so often before then), the recurring theme of “cash rate increase” or “RBA rate rises” are all headlining Australian...
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