The upcoming US midterms & macro themes

U.S. President’s approval rating As investors start to look towards 2026, there is a key event which will take place toward the end of 2026 – the U.S. midterm election. Leading up to and the result of this midterm election could have a material impact on the economy and financial markets. U.S. President Donald Trump … Read more

Earnings season…

It has been a busy month and half with companies from around the world (with a particular focus on the U.S.) and Australia providing an earnings update. Perhaps more importantly investors were interested in hearing managements’ commentary on the current trading environment and their twelve-month outlook statements. While share prices may bounce around over the … Read more

Quick update: Thoughts on CSL valuation

CSL is well owned across Australian investor portfolios, including Banyantree Australian Core Equity strategy. The recent share price decline has caused us as much angst as anyway else. CSL’s recent share price decline and overall trend over the past 1 year (price down from ~$310 to $220) has raised a few questions. In our report (attached … Read more

Gold – is it still worth it?

On gold, the question we are not asking is whether the price will go up or down and concerns around the price being at an all time high. The question for us is more a portfolio construction and diversification one. Do we believe gold [as perceived by the market (remember: in our view history rhymes … Read more

The RBA should cut the cash rate in August

The latest Australian inflation data is only likely to increase investors’ expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut the RBA cash rate further in the current easing cycle. Australia’s consumer price index (CPI) for all groups increased +0.7% for the June 2025 quarter or +2.1% on an annualised basis. The more closely … Read more

European equities – Maybe this time?

European equities are increasingly gaining favour among global investors at the expense of U.S. equities. Funds flow data and recent performance point to this fact. The question is whether this trend is sustainable? Europe’s STOXX 600 Index has experienced a sustained, long underperformance relative to U.S. equities (S&P 500 Index) since the global financial crisis. … Read more

RBA delivers another rate cut…

The RBA delivered a widely expected 0.25% cut to the cash rate at its recent monetary policy meeting, taking the official RBA cash rate to 3.85%. The Board noted the following in a statement accompanying the decision: “The Board judged that the risks to inflation have become more balanced. Inflation is in the target band … Read more